FedEx St Jude Championship Stats Analysis: The Key Metrics for Success at TPC Southwind

FedEx St Jude Championship Player Blueprint: Which Players Fit TPC Southwind?

TPC Southwind is a demanding test where consistent tee-to-green play, quality iron play and the ability to convert birdie opportunities can make the difference. For this week’s FedEx St Jude Championship, PGAgolfbets has identified four key performance metrics that help define the statistical blueprint for success: Strokes Gained Tee to Green, Strokes Gained Approach, Par 4 Scoring Average and Birdie or Better Percentage.

#	Player	Mes Rds	SGT2G	SGAPR	Par 4 Sco	BoB%	Total
1	Si Woo Kim	71	3	3	2	4	12
2	Scottie Scheffler	56	1	9	1	3	14
3	Collin Morikawa	42	6	2	14	7	29
4	Matt Fitzpatrick	58	2	1	5	57	65
5	Viktor Hovland	50	18	14	21	19	72
6	Wyndham Clark	57	23	28	21	1	73
7	Ludvig Aberg	51	7	13	35	22	77
8	Cameron Young	55	5	20	2	52	79
9	Jake Knapp	43	44	18	21	2	85
10	Ryan Gerard	67	43	24	14	14	95
11	Akshay Bhatia	52	52	32	14	9	107
12	Tom Kim	63	14	5	5	90	114
13	Sam Burns	52	47	49	2	24	122
14	Chris Gotterup	67	15	50	21	37	123
15	Patrick Cantlay	49	9	17	5	97	128
16	Jacob Bridgeman	68	64	47	5	13	129
17	Min Woo Lee	54	10	63	47	10	130
18	Hideki Matsuyama	67	22	29	47	35	133
19	Keith Mitchell	69	16	48	35	41	140
20	Russell Henley	52	38	52	5	48	143
21	Kurt Kitayama	63	17	10	21	106	154
22	Justin Rose	42	39	15	35	65	154
23	J.J. Spaun	59	8	4	47	95	154
24	Ryan Fox	54	55	70	5	28	158
25	Xander Schauffele	55	13	43	21	82	159
26	Tommy Fleetwood	54	4	40	47	75	166
27	Robert MacIntyre	58	40	101	21	6	168
28	Shane Lowry	48	29	16	21	104	170
29	Gary Woodland	55	42	73	21	50	186
30	Rickie Fowler	60	61	65	21	51	198
31	Adam Scott	49	24	7	98	70	199
32	Alex Smalley	61	46	46	14	96	202
33	Jordan Smith	59	27	34	35	108	204
34	Maverick McNealy	61	53	107	35	11	206
35	Nicolai Hojgaard	61	21	37	98	59	215
36	Ryo Hisatsune	79	28	43	35	114	220
37	Eric Cole	59	103	84	35	5	227
38	Sudarshan Yellamaraju	64	48	75	67	37	227
39	Aaron Rai	44	19	25	47	148	239
40	Michael Brennan	58	50	51	116	26	243
41	Michael Thorbjornsen	58	26	91	21	128	266
42	Corey Conners	68	45	34	67	127	273
43	Sahith Theegala	75	57	68	82	77	284
44	Justin Thomas	46	30	103	116	36	285
45	Harris English	59	78	129	47	32	286
46	Bud Cauley	65	25	45	82	139	291
47	Jordan Spieth	68	70	78	82	64	294
48	Matt McCarty	63	115	72	82	26	295
49	Michael Kim	73	108	94	67	33	302
50	Nick Taylor	70	71	69	82	88	310
51	Pierceson Coody	68	94	100	98	21	313
52	Ben Griffin	64	68	110	47	92	317
53	J.T. Poston	58	94	87	82	56	319
54	Sam Stevens	69	63	74	67	122	326
55	Brian Harman	65	84	61	98	91	334
56	Ricky Castillo	59	96	131	35	79	341
57	Alex Noren	52	114	116	47	76	353
58	Kristoffer Reitan	53	58	109	98	89	354
59	Harry Hall	58	117	125	98	33	373
60	Aldrich Potgieter	48	100	121	130	28	379
61	Sepp Straka	49	92	55	149	98	394
62	Max Homa	55	118	124	67	99	408
63	Nico Echavarria	61	125	86	67	132	410
64	Sungjae Im	56	104	149	116	60	429
65	Patrick Rodgers	70	136	130	142	69	477
66	Matti Schmid	54	134	137	142	115	528
67	Alex Fitzpatrick	–	–	–	–	–	0
68	Jackson Koivun	–	–	–	–	–	0
69	Rory McIlroy	–	–	–	–	–	0

The following players stand out as the strongest statistical fits heading into this week’s tournament.

Key Takeaways from the FedEx St Jude Championship Stats Analysis

🟢 Si Woo Kim Sets the Benchmark

Si Woo Kim leads the entire model with a remarkable total score of just 12, ranking inside the top four in all four categories. He is 3rd in both SGT2G and SG Approach, 2nd in Par 4 Scoring and 4th in Birdie or Better Percentage — an exceptionally balanced profile.

🏆 Scheffler Remains the Complete Package

Scottie Scheffler sits just two points behind Kim with a total of 14, ranking 1st in SGT2G and Par 4 Scoring while also sitting inside the top 10 for SG Approach and Birdie or Better Percentage. His consistency across the blueprint makes him difficult to overlook.

🎯 Elite Iron Play is a Major Theme

Collin Morikawa, Matt Fitzpatrick, Tom Kim and J.J. Spaun all rank highly in SG Approach, highlighting the importance of quality iron play at TPC Southwind. Morikawa is particularly interesting, ranking 2nd in SG Approach and 6th in SGT2G to produce the third-best overall score in the model.

🔥 Birdie Makers Could Have an Edge

Wyndham Clark leads the field in Birdie or Better Percentage, while Jake Knapp ranks 2nd and Ludvig Åberg 22nd. Clark’s elite birdie-making ability, combined with strong Par 4 scoring and a solid tee-to-green profile, helps explain his 73-point total and makes him an intriguing statistical fit.

Statistical Analysis Caveat

Please note that three players in this week’s field do not have sufficient measured rounds to produce reliable rankings across the four key performance metrics and are therefore excluded from the analysis. This includes Rory McIlroy. Their absence from the table should not be interpreted as a negative assessment of their suitability for TPC Southwind; rather, there is simply insufficient current-season PGA Tour data to assess them accurately using this particular model.

Final Thoughts

The numbers point towards a clear blueprint at TPC Southwind: elite tee-to-green performance, quality approach play and strong Par 4 scoring, with the ability to convert those opportunities into birdies providing an important additional edge.

Si Woo Kim and Scottie Scheffler stand clearly above the field in the statistical model, while Collin Morikawa, Matt Fitzpatrick, Viktor Hovland, Wyndham Clark and Ludvig Åberg also offer profiles that closely match the identified winning formula.

👉 Looking for this week’s best bets? Head over to our FedEx St Jude Championship Betting Tips for the full tournament preview, player analysis, betting selections and fantasy golf picks.