John Deere Classic Stats Analysis: The Key Metrics for Success at TPC Deere Run

John Deere Classic Player Blueprint: Who Fits the Winning Profile?

TPC Deere Run has a reputation for producing low winning scores, meaning players need to create plenty of birdie opportunities while avoiding costly mistakes. Based on historical trends, PGAgolfbets has identified four key performance metrics that consistently align with success at the John Deere Classic: Strokes Gained Approach, Strokes Gained Putting, Bogey Avoidance, and Proximity to Hole.

#	Player	Mes Rds	SGAPR	SGP	Bog Av	Prox	Total
1	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	43	44	23	11	50	128
2	A.J. Ewart	41	98	6	6	22	132
3	Tom Kim	51	14	95	12	19	140
4	Jacob Bridgeman	60	43	4	30	68	145
5	Mac Meissner	49	71	55	15	13	154
6	Sudarshan Yellamaraju	54	58	45	41	18	162
7	Eric Cole	49	52	8	26	84	170
8	Rickie Fowler	52	78	40	22	40	180
9	Zach Bauchou	43	33	75	17	80	205
10	Jackson Suber	38	23	116	64	3	206
11	Karl Vilips	35	104	14	36	54	208
12	Doug Ghim	36	91	104	10	13	218
13	Daniel Berger	52	9	104	77	40	230
14	Beau Hossler	30	114	6	7	108	235
15	Michael Thorbjornsen	48	92	122	9	13	236
16	Ryo Hisatsune	71	44	106	70	19	239
17	Chris Gotterup	57	39	37	62	108	246
18	Steven Fisk	46	120	34	32	61	247
19	Austin Eckroat	38	38	82	75	56	251
20	Chad Ramey	43	127	16	49	61	253
21	Haotong Li	37	29	115	82	32	258
22	Adam Svensson	30	64	144	39	13	260
23	Zecheng Dou	37	30	92	48	91	261
24	Joel Dahmen	35	36	147	81	5	269
25	Denny McCarthy	59	92	24	49	104	269
26	Davis Thompson	40	55	138	34	44	271
27	Lee Hodges	36	67	79	89	50	285
28	Keith Mitchell	61	40	99	42	106	287
29	Adrien Dumont de Chassart	39	86	57	44	101	288
30	Johnny Keefer	53	19	143	119	8	289
31	Seamus Power	39	124	30	31	104	289
32	Luke Clanton	31	31	137	94	29	291
33	Patrick Fishburn	30	112	49	67	68	296
34	Austin Smotherman	43	12	121	113	50	296
35	Brice Garnett	32	105	64	100	32	301
36	Ben Griffin	58	113	25	18	146	302
37	Tom Hoge	61	62	108	130	4	304
38	Andrew Putnam	51	60	47	53	151	311
39	Kevin Roy	46	132	41	99	40	312
40	Matthieu Pavon	39	126	28	28	133	315
41	J.T. Poston	54	75	64	69	110	318
42	Michael Kim	61	101	22	122	74	319
43	Taylor Moore	41	131	42	29	118	320
44	Hank Lebioda	34	76	131	47	68	322
45	Pierceson Coody	58	79	36	87	122	324
46	Mackenzie Hughes	40	121	42	25	138	326
47	Max Greyserman	45	95	73	124	44	336
48	Jordan Spieth	60	80	63	52	142	337
49	Kensei Hirata	36	136	101	37	68	342
50	Takumi Kanaya	44	146	19	51	128	344
51	Max McGreevy	51	32	139	64	113	348
52	John VanDerLaan	32	139	95	89	36	359
53	Davis Riley	33	141	26	150	46	363
54	Keegan Bradley	51	87	94	126	61	368
55	Mark Hubbard	42	54	148	105	61	368
56	Lucas Glover	45	102	149	120	1	372
57	Nico Echavarria	55	89	70	127	88	374
58	Dylan Wu	33	50	130	140	56	376
59	William Mouw	42	73	111	104	91	379
60	Matt Wallace	36	65	85	87	142	379
61	Emiliano Grillo	48	81	129	139	37	386
62	Stephan Jaeger	43	128	60	63	142	393
63	Michael Brennan	42	97	124	141	32	394
64	Andrew Novak	56	61	134	116	84	395
65	Jimmy Stanger	29	150	17	83	145	395
66	Tony Finau	58	106	97	110	84	397
67	Max Homa	45	123	44	95	135	397
68	Vince Whaley	34	145	1	101	150	397
69	Kevin Yu	36	90	141	123	46	400
70	Chandler Blanchet	42	83	135	105	80	403
71	Erik van Rooyen	36	140	15	138	113	406
72	Davis Chatfield	25	137	120	79	75	411
73	Patrick Rodgers	67	116	39	133	125	413
74	Peter Malnati	28	147	13	112	148	420
75	David Lipsky	31	87	83	105	146	421
76	Rico Hoey	54	95	114	91	122	422
77	Chandler Phillips	39	148	33	145	111	437
78	Garrick Higgo	43	142	113	98	88	441
79	Sungjae Im	44	144	32	136	131	443
80	Jeffrey Kang	28	103	125	127	88	443
81	Pontus Nyholm	28	130	86	115	116	447
82	Taylor Pendrith	58	111	119	118	101	449
83	Neal Shipley	34	125	145	134	46	450
84	Marcelo Rozo	26	57	151	148	106	462
85	Joe Highsmith	48	119	133	148	68	468
86	Danny Walker	38	100	140	144	97	481
87	Aldrich Potgieter	40	108	100	142	134	484
88	Brian Campbell	46	138	97	146	141	522
89	Adam Schenk	42	134	146	147	101	528
90	Jhonattan Vegas	48	135	132	131	130	528
91	Christo Lamprecht	26	151	123	137	149	560
92	Alejandro Tosti	28	149	150	151	122	572
93	Zac Blair	–	–	–	–	–	0
94	Ryan Brehm	–	–	–	–	–	0
95	Blades Brown	–	–	–	–	–	0
96	Jonathan Byrd	–	–	–	–	–	0
97	Rafael Campos	–	–	–	–	–	0
98	Cameron Champ	–	–	–	–	–	0
99	Austin Cook	–	–	–	–	–	0
100	Trace Crowe	–	–	–	–	–	0
101	Tyler Duncan	–	–	–	–	–	0
102	Nick Dunlap	–	–	–	–	–	0
103	Darin Fisher	–	–	–	–	–	0
104	Dylan Frittelli	–	–	–	–	–	0
105	Fabian Gomez	–	–	–	–	–	0
106	Noah Goodwin	–	–	–	–	–	0
107	Will Gordon	–	–	–	–	–	0
108	Lanto Griffin	–	–	–	–	–	0
109	Chesson Hadley	–	–	–	–	–	0
110	Adam Hadwin	–	–	–	–	–	0
111	Nick Hardy	–	–	–	–	–	0
112	Harry Higgs	–	–	–	–	–	0
113	Mason Howell	–	–	–	–	–	0
114	Zach Johnson	–	–	–	–	–	0
115	Chan Kim	–	–	–	–	–	0
116	Patton Kizzire	–	–	–	–	–	0
117	Ben Kohles	–	–	–	–	–	0
118	Jackson Koivun	–	–	–	–	–	0
119	Matt Kuchar	–	–	–	–	–	0
120	Martin Laird	–	–	–	–	–	0
121	Nicholas Lindheim	–	–	–	–	–	0
122	Luke List	–	–	–	–	–	0
123	Adam Long	–	–	–	–	–	0
124	Justin Lower	–	–	–	–	–	0
125	Ben Martin	–	–	–	–	–	0
126	William McGirt	–	–	–	–	–	0
127	Troy Merritt	–	–	–	–	–	0
128	Taylor Montgomery	–	–	–	–	–	0
129	Keita Nakajima	–	–	–	–	–	0
130	S.Y. Noh	–	–	–	–	–	0
131	Thorbjorn Olesen	–	–	–	–	–	0
132	Ryan Palmer	–	–	–	–	–	0
133	Jeremy Paul	–	–	–	–	–	0
134	Paul Peterson	–	–	–	–	–	0
135	Scott Piercy	–	–	–	–	–	0
136	Chez Reavie	–	–	–	–	–	0
137	Gordon Sargent	–	–	–	–	–	0
138	Ben Silverman	–	–	–	–	–	0
139	Webb Simpson	–	–	–	–	–	0
140	David Skinns	–	–	–	–	–	0
141	Hayden Springer	–	–	–	–	–	0
142	Preston Stout	–	–	–	–	–	0
143	Robert Streb	–	–	–	–	–	0
144	Kevin Streelman	–	–	–	–	–	0
145	Brendon Todd	–	–	–	–	–	0
146	Kris Ventura	–	–	–	–	–	0
147	Camilo Villegas	–	–	–	–	–	0
148	Ryan Voois	–	–	–	–	–	0
149	Aaron Wise	–	–	–	–	–	0
150	Carson Young	–	–	–	–	–	0

📥 Download the John Deere Classic Stats Analysis (CSV)

The following players stand out as the strongest statistical fits heading into this week’s tournament.

🟢 Christiaan Bezuidenhout Tops the Model

Bezuidenhout leads this week’s rankings thanks to a well-rounded statistical profile. Ranking inside the top 50 in every category—including 11th in Bogey Avoidance and 23rd in SG Putting—he arrives with one of the most balanced skill sets in the field.

🎯 Precision Iron Play Could Be the Difference

TPC Deere Run rewards players who consistently attack flags. Daniel Berger (9th), Tom Kim (14th), Johnny Keefer (19th), Chris Gotterup (39th) and Zecheng Dou (30th) all rank highly for SG Approach, making them players to watch if their putters cooperate.

🔥 Hot Putters Can Contend

Low-scoring events are often decided on the greens. A.J. Ewart and Beau Hossler both rank 6th in SG Putting, while Jacob Bridgeman (4th), Eric Cole (8th) and Chad Ramey (16th) have the putting ability to convert birdie chances throughout the week.

🟢 Birdie Makers with Complete Profiles Stand Out

Tom Kim, Jacob Bridgeman and Mac Meissner all feature inside this week’s top five overall rankings by combining strong performances across multiple key metrics rather than relying on just one standout statistic. That balanced profile has historically been a reliable recipe for success at TPC Deere Run.

Final Thoughts

The John Deere Classic typically rewards players who pair elite approach play with a hot putter while keeping bogeys to a minimum. Christiaan Bezuidenhout heads this week’s statistical rankings, but Tom Kim, Jacob Bridgeman, Mac Meissner and A.J. Ewart also possess skill sets that closely match the historical winning blueprint.

👉 Looking for this week’s best bets? Be sure to read our John Deere Classic Betting Tips for our full tournament preview, betting selections and fantasy golf picks.