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WGC FedEx St Jude Invitational Betting Tips

WGC Fedex St Jude Invitational betting tips

Golf betting tips: Preview and tips for the 2021 WGC FedEx St Jude Invitational

2019 marked the first edition of the WGC FedEx St Jude Invitational which replaced the much loved WGC Bridgestone Invitational.

The rebranded FedEx St Jude Classic debuted in May 1958 as the Memphis Open and is played annually in Memphis, Tennessee. TPC Southwind has served as tournament host since 1989.

Since 2007, the FedEx St Jude Classic preceded the US Open. However, with the tournament’s new elevated status, it becomes a ‘marquee-event‘ on the Tour calendar and now attracts the very best golf professionals from around the world.



Course Overview

TPC Southwind stands out as one of the more grueling tee-to-green tests on the PGA Tour schedule. It is a 7,200+ yard Par 70 that was designed by Ron Prichard with Hubert Green and Fuzzy Zoeller as player consultants. Each of the holes was meticulously crafted to balance ‘play-ability‘ with strategy.

The course was remodeled in 2004 with new bunkering, additional trees planted, fairways re-contoured and narrowed and over 200 yards added in length. The Par 5 fifth was converted to a Par 4 reducing the overall par to 70. Water is in play on 10 holes and half the holes are dog-legs.

TPC Southwind continually ranks as one of the most challenging tracks for both Driving Accuracy and Greens in Regulation. Greens are smaller than the Tour standard and are undulating which translates into smaller target areas and tricky pin positions.

Players will miss greens and an important statistic to look at this week is Scrambling and Bogey Avoidance. It stands out as a track than should suit the experienced and patient professional.



2020 WGC FedEX St Jude Invitational | Justin Thomas

Last year, Justin Thomas carded a final round -5 (66) to finish at -13 (267), three shots clear of four players which included Brooks Koepka, Tom Lewis, Phil Mickelson and Daniel Berger. It was JT’s 13th PGA Tour victory and his 3rd win of the season.

Justin Thomas
SG Category
Strokes GainedFinishing Position
(SG Category)
SGOTT2.30316th
SGAPR7.6702nd
SGARG3.1264th
SGP-1.88155th
SGT2G13.0991st

Tee-to-green is where all the magic happened for Thomas. He topped the field in Strokes Gained Tee-To-Green which translated a gain of just over 13 strokes on the field average for the week. In particular his approach play was dialed-in. He finished 2nd in Strokes Gained Approach-The-Green which accounted for nearly an 8 stroke gain. Surprisingly for Thomas, he finished with a negative Strokes Gained Putting, placing 55th for the stat. Other stats for the week include T12 for Driving Accuracy, T44 for Driving Distance, T7 for GIR and T45 in Putts per GIR.

2019 WGC FedEX St Jude Invitational | Brooks Koepka

The 2019 champion, Brooks Koepka, won by three strokes from Webb Simpson to capture the WGC FedEx St Jude Invitational. He closed with a bogey free -5 (65) to finish -16 (264) for the week. It was his seventh PGA Tour title and first WGC win.

“Everything just kind of comes if you just let it happen, just stay patient and if you keep playing well, put yourself in contention, a lot of good things will happen”

Brooks Koepka
Brooks Koepka
SG Category
Strokes GainedFinishing Position
(SG Category)
SGOTT3.7455
SGAPR3.21611
SGARG-2.29154
SGP9.3461
SGT2G4.6706

Koepka’s game tee-to-green laid the foundation for his victory finishing the week 6th in the Strokes Gained Tee-To-Green category. However, the lion’s share of his gain came from the flat-stick. He topped the field in the Strokes Gained Putting stat which yielded an impressive 9.346 strokes on the field average for the week. Other stats include T9 for Driving Accuracy, 4th for Driving Distance, T8 for GIR and 7th in Putts per GIR.

2018 FedEx St Jude Classic | Dustin Johnson

In 2018, Dustin Johnson holed out for eagle on the Par 4 18th to finish on a score of -19 (261). He won by six strokes from Andrew Putnam with JB Holmes a further 4 shots back. Johnson only squared 4 bogeys for the week shooting rounds of 67-63-65-66 on his way to victory.

Dustin Johnson
SG Category
Strokes GainedFinishing Position
(SG Category)
SGOTT5.0144
SGAPR9.8322
SGARG2.07814
SGP3.85812
SGT2G16.9221

Johnson put on an exhibition tee-to-green gaining almost 17 strokes on the field average in the Strokes Gained Tee-To-Green category. This accounted for over 80% of his shots gained for the tournament. DJ finished the tournament T36 for Driving Accuracy, 1st for Driving Distance, T10 for GIR and 2nd in Putts per GIR.

2017 FedEx St Jude Classic | Daniel Berger

In 2017, Daniel Berger successfully defended his title finishing the week on -10 (270), one stroke ahead of the chasing pack. Seven players finished within two strokes of the lead. Berger had this to say after the final round;

“I’m extremely proud. I’m 1-for-1 defending titles, so that’s a pretty good stat. I just battled so hard today and played so good. I just can’t be happier”

Daniel Berger
Daniel Berger
SG Category
Strokes GainedFinishing Position
(SG Category)
SGOTT4.6122
SGAPR4.89912
SGARG2.67810
SGP0.37244
SGT2G12.1881

Berger’s game tee-to-green was sublime for the week and he topping the field in Strokes Gained Tee-To-Green. He gained an impressive 12.188 strokes on the field average for the week based on this stat. Other stats for the week include T36 for Driving Accuracy, 14th for Driving Distance, T10 for GIR and 2nd in Putts per GIR.

WGC FedEx St Jude Invitational Winning Formula

The following table details the Average Strokes Gained in each of the key strokes gained categories for the past four champions of the WGC FedEx St Jude Invitational.

Last 4 Champions
Strokes Gained Category
Average Strokes GainedAverage Finishing
Position SG Category
SGOTT3.9197th
SGAPR6.4047th
SGARG1.39821st
SGP2.92428th
SGT2G11.7202nd

Graphing the above Average Strokes Gained gives a visual check on the likely key areas required for success at this week’s WGC FedEx St Jude Invitational.

Scoring this week is as much about avoiding bogeys as it is finding birdies.

WGC FedEx St Jude Invitational Betting Tips

Louis Oosthuizen golf betting tipsLouis Oosthuizen 20/1 (E/W) – sticking with King Louis yet again this week. Since the tournament rebrand, he has played the two editions of the WGC at TPC Southwind finishing T20 and T6. As per previous posts, his Current Form is simply red-hot and hard to ignore. Has runner-up finishes in both the US Open and PGA Championship, a T3 in the Open Championship and a T2 in his last outing at the 3M Open. Places 4th in this week’s Stats Analysis, he is also 1st on Tour for Strokes Gained Putting and 2nd for Scoring Average. Sat out the Olympics so doesn’t have the travel challenges that many ahead of him in the market will endure. Too many compelling arguments against leaving him on the bench.

Corey Conners golf betting tipsCorey Conners 40/1 (E/W) – has played the last two editions of the WGC at TPC Southwind finishing T27 and T30 respectively. His form is impressive this season with 7 x Top 10’s from 25 starts including a T15 in his last outing on Tour in the Open Championship. Finished T13 at the Olympics and will be buoyed with closing rounds of 66 and 65. The ball-striking supremo from Canada features 6th in this week’s Stats Analysis. His skill set is tailor made for TPC Southwind and if his putter performs then he could be in the mix come Sunday. Good each way value.

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