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Valero Texas Open betting tips

Golf betting tips: Preview and tips for the 2022 Valero Texas Open

The Valero Texas Open was first played in 1922 as the Texas Open. It is the third oldest PGA Tour event and has always been played in San Antonio.

The Valero Texas Open is the oldest professional golf tournament to have been held in the same city its entire existence. Since 2010 the tournament is played at the AT&T Oaks Course at TPC San Antonio.

TPC San Antonio opened in January 2010 with two 18-hole championship golf courses designed by Pete Dye (AT&T Canyons Course) and Greg Norman (AT&T Oaks Course).

In 2007 and 2008 the event was part of the PGA Tour Fall Series as an alternate tournament to the Presidents Cup and Ryder Cup. Last year, the tournament moved to the slot prior to the year’s first major championship. As the last full field event before the Masters, it gives players one last chance to get into the field with a win.

Course Overview

The AT&T Oaks Course has served as the venue for the Valero Texas Open since 2010 and is the eighth local course to have hosted the event. The course was designed by Greg Norman with Sergio Garcia as player consultant.

The 7,435 yard Par-72 is a traditional design that features narrow, tree-lined fairways.

The collaboration between Norman and Garcia produced a course design that focuses on quality ball-striking, with an emphasis on precision tee to green. Driving Accuracy is important and any wayward tee shots will be punished. In 2011 Kevin Na carded a 16 on the Par 4 9th hole in the opening round.

The course requires patience and usually ranks as one of the more difficult for Greens in Regulation. Greens will be missed so an important statistic to consider is scrambling. The wind tends to be a factor in Texas, so experience in manoeuvring the ball in windy conditions can be important.

2021 Valero Texas Open | Jordan Spieth

Last year, Jordan Spieth bagged his 12th PGA Tour victory in winning the 2021 Valero Texas Open. It was his first victory in 82 starts and first since the 2017 Open Championship at Royal Birkdale. He carded a final round -6 (66) for a tournament total of -18 (270), 2 strokes clear of Charley Hoffman with Matt Wallace a further two strokes back.

“This is a monumental win for me. It’s been a long road. There were a lot of times that I didn’t know I would be here.”

Jordan Spieth

The Texas native excelled tee-to-green finishing the week 3rd in Strokes Gained Tee-To-Green. This equated to a gain of 12.889 strokes on the field average or nearly 70% of his overall strokes for the tournament. He also finished 6th in Strokes Gained Putting which translated to a 5.703 stroke gain for the week. Other stats include T78 for Driving Accuracy, T33 for Driving Distance, T66 for GIR and 1st for Putts per GIR.

2020 Valero Texas Open | Cancelled

The 98th edition of the Valero Texas Open was cancelled two weeks before the tournament due to the COVID-19 pandemic.

2019 Valero Texas Open | Corey Conners

In 2019, Canadian Corey Conners, captured his maiden victory on Tour at the Valero Texas Open. A rollercoaster final round -6 (66) included 4 Pars, 4 Bogeys and 10 Birdies. The 27 year old finished -20 (268) for the week which was enough for a two-stroke victory over his nearest rival Charley Hoffman.

”No more Monday qualifying. That’s the best deal from this. Amazing. It’s a dream come true.”

Corey Conners

Almost 87% of his overall strokes gained for the week came tee-to-green. He finished the week 2nd in the Strokes Gained Tee-To-Green which equated to a gain of 14.370 strokes. In particular his approach play was sublime topping the pile in the Strokes Gained Approach-The-Green (11.558 strokes). Other stats for the week include T7 for Driving Accuracy, 27th for Driving Distance, 1st for GIR and 26th for Strokes Gained Putting.

2018 Valero Texas Open | Andrew Landry

In 2018, Andrew Landry won the Valero Texas Open for his first PGA Tour victory. The 30 year old Texan carded a final round -4 (68) for a two stroke victory over Trey Mullinax and Sean O’Hair. Mullinax closed with a 69 a day after breaking the AT&T Oaks Course record with a 62.

Landry’s game tee-to-green was superb finishing the week 1st in both the Strokes Gained Tee-To-Green and Strokes Gained Approach-The-Green categories. His play with the flat-stick duly complimented his tee-to-green play finishing 8th for Strokes Gained Putting. Landry was also T29 for Driving Accuracy, 46th for Driving Distance, 1st for GIR and 4th for Putts per GIR.

2017 Valero Texas Open | Kevin Chappell

The 2017 champion, Kevin Chappell landed his first PGA Tour title at the Valero Texas Open. Chappell birdied the final hole to finish one stroke ahead of Brooks Koepka. His play tee-to-green for the week was on point. He finished 2nd for Strokes Gained Tee-To-Green gaining an impressive 13.265 strokes on the field average for the tournament. He finished T35 for Driving Accuracy, T25 for Driving Distance, 3rd for GIR and 21st for Stokes Gained Putting.

2016 Valero Texas Open | Charlie Hoffman

In 2016, Charley Hoffman birdied the final hole to finish -12(276) and beat Patrick Reed by one stroke. It was his fourth win on Tour and a breakdown of his strokes gained shows that his putting contributed 47% of his total strokes gained on the field and his approach shots contributed another 37%.

Valero Texas Open Winning Formula

The following table details the breakdown of the Strokes Gained in each of the strokes gained categories for the past four champions of the Valero Texas Open.

YearPlayerSGOTTSGAPRSGARGSGPSGT2G
2017Kevin Chappell4.383
(4th)
8.130
(2nd)
0.751
(T32)
3.061
(21st)
13.265
(2nd)
2018Andrew Landry3.602
(9th)
7.680
(1st)
1.185
(33rd)
5.166
(8th)
12.468
(1st)
2019Corey Conners4.327
(4th)
11.558
(1st)
-1.516
(58th)
2.165
(26th)
14.370
(2nd)
2021Jordan Spieth0.948
(38th)
7.416
(4th)
4.525
(3rd)
5.703
(6th)
12.889
(3rd)
AVERAGE3.315
(14th)
8.696
(2nd)
1.236
(32nd)
4.024
(15th)
13.248
(2nd)

Taking the average in each of the strokes gained categories reveals the following “winning formula”.

Chart by Visualizer

Valero Texas Open Tips

Corey Conners golf betting tipsCorey Conners 16/1 (E/W) – a past champion of the Valero Texas Open winning here in 2019. Followed with a T14 in last year’s edition of the tournament. A 3rd place finish in last week’s WGC Matchplay was preceded with a T26 in the PLAYERS Championship and a T11 in the Arnold Palmer Invitational. A stellar game tee-to-green comfortably puts the Canadian inside the Top 10 in this week’s Stats Analysis. Arriving to San Antonio in confident mood to a course where he has past success makes for a good mix. Best value at top end of market.

Chris Kirk golf betting tipsChris Kirk 28/1 (E/W) – a regular at the Valero Texas Open he has two Top 10 finishes in the recent past (2018 & 2021). A MC on his last outing at the PLAYERS can be attributed to the ‘very challenging‘ late-early draw. However, prior to this he had a T14 in the WM Phoenix Open, a T7 in the Honda Classic and a T5 in the Arnold Palmer Invitational. His strong Current Form is reflected in his stats, placing inside the Top 10 in this week’s Stats Analysis. Has the ability to grind out a score and will relish this week’s challenge. Only player to feature in the Top 10 for each of the Event Form, Current Form and Stats Analysis tables. Good value.

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