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US Open Betting Tips and Insights for Pinehurst Course No. 2

US Open tips

The US Open is one of the most prestigious tournaments in golf, attracting the world’s best players to compete on some of the most challenging courses. This year, the US Open returns to Pinehurst Course No. 2, a venue renowned for its difficulty and history. Whether you are a seasoned bettor or a fantasy golf enthusiast, this comprehensive guide will provide you with valuable insights to make informed decisions. We’ll delve into the course specifics, analyze player statistics and offer some betting tips to help you predict potential standout performers.

Overview of the US Open

The US Open is one of golf’s four major championships and is known for its rigorous setup and demanding conditions. The tournament typically features tight fairways, thick rough, and fast greens, all designed to test every aspect of a golfer’s game. Winning the US Open requires not just skill, but also mental fortitude and strategic play.

The US Open is organised by the United States Golf Association (USGA). Traditionally it is played in mid-June and scheduled so that the final round is played on the third Sunday, which is Father’s Day.

The US Open is an official tournament of both the PGA and European Tours. From a course difficulty perspective, the US Open Championship is traditionally the hardest of the four Majors to win.

The tournament is staged at a variety of courses and set up in such a way that scoring is difficult. US Open courses are typically characterized by low scoring, are long, have a high cut of primary rough, undulating greens and tight fairways.

Course Analysis: Pinehurst Course No. 2

Pinehurst Course No. 2, located in Pinehurst, North Carolina, is one of the most iconic courses in the United States. Designed by Donald Ross and opened in 1907, the course has hosted several major championships, including three previous US Opens (1999, 2005, and 2014). It is revered for its crowned, undulating greens and strategic layout that demands precision and creativity.

Ross designed Pinehurst No. 2 with a philosophy that “a golf course should be subtly deceptive, it should be a stern test of golf,” and this rings true to this day. The course’s natural landscape has been preserved and enhanced by subsequent renovations, maintaining its status as a supreme test of golfing skill.

Pinehurst No. 2, the crown jewel of Pinehurst Resort & Country Club in North Carolina, boasts several distinctive features that make it a legendary venue for golf, especially for the US Open Championship:

  1. Classic Donald Ross Design: Pinehurst No. 2 is a masterpiece crafted by the renowned golf course architect Donald Ross. Ross ingeniously integrated the natural landscape into the course design, creating a layout that challenges players of all skill levels. The course features Ross’s trademark turtleback greens, which are notorious for their subtle slopes and tricky pin positions, demanding precision and finesse from golfers.
  2. Natural Beauty and Sandhills Terrain: Pinehurst No. 2 is nestled amidst the picturesque Sandhills region of North Carolina, offering stunning vistas and a serene ambiance. The course is characterized by its sandy soil, pine trees, and native vegetation, providing a unique and rustic setting for championship golf. The undulating terrain adds an extra layer of complexity to the golfing experience, requiring strategic shot-making and thoughtful course management.
  3. Historic Legacy and Championship Pedigree: Pinehurst No. 2 has a rich history dating back over a century, having hosted numerous prestigious tournaments, including the US Open Championship. Its legacy as a major championship venue is unparalleled, with past champions including legends like Payne Stewart, who famously clinched the title with a memorable putt on the 18th green in 1999. The course’s storied past adds to its allure and mystique, attracting golfers from around the world to test their skills on its hallowed fairways and greens during major championships like the US Open.

Pinehurst Course No.2 Scorecard

HoleParYardsHoleParYards
14395105617
24500114478
34387124486
44528134381
55588144472
63228153197
74426164536
84492173207
93184184448
Out353728In353822
Par70
Total7550
Par#ShortestLongestAverage
3’s4184228204
4’s12381536461
5’s2588617603
  • Average Green Size: 6,500 sq.ft.
  • Number of Sand Bunkers: 117
  • No. of Water Hazards: 1
  • No. of Holes Water is in Play: 1

US Open Past Champions (2000 – 2023)

YearChampionVenueScoreTo par
2023Wyndham ClarkLos Angeles Country Club270-10
2022Matt FitzpatrickThe Country Club274-6
2021Jon RahmTorrey Pines South Course278-6
2020Bryson DeChambeauWinged Foot Golf Club, West Course274-6
2019Gary WoodlandPebble Beach Golf Links271-13
2018Brooks KoepkaShinnecock Hills Golf Club2811
2017Brooks KoepkaErin Hills GC272-16
2016Dustin JohnsonOakmont Country Club276-4
2015Jordan SpiethChambers Bay275-5
2014Martin KaymerPinehurst Resort, Course No. 2271-9
2013Justin RoseMerrion Golf Club, East Course2811
2012Webb SimpsonOlympic Club, Lake Course2811
2011Rory McIlroyCongressional CC, Blue Course268-16
2010Graeme McDowellPebble Beach Golf Links284E
2009Lucas GloverBethpage State Park, Black Course276-4
2008Tiger WoodsTorrey Pines, South Course283-1
2007Angel CabreraOakmont Country Club2855
2006Geoff OgilvyWinged Foot GC, West Course2855
2005Michael CampbellPinehurst Resort, Course No. 2280E
2004Retief GoosenShinnecock Hills Golf Club276-4
2003Jim FurykOlympia Fields CC, North Course272-8
2002Tiger WoodsBethpage State Park, Black Course277-3
2001Retief GoosenSouthern Hills Country Club276-4
2000Tiger WoodsPebble Beach Golf Links272-12

Historical Performance Indicators

To predict potential standout performers, it’s essential to look at historical data and identify trends from past US Opens at Pinehurst No. 2:

Past Winners

  • 1999: Payne Stewart – Known for his precise iron play and excellent putting, Stewart’s victory showcased the importance of accuracy and a stellar short game.
  • 2005: Michael Campbell – Campbell’s win was marked by his exceptional scrambling ability and clutch putting under pressure.
  • 2014: Martin Kaymer – Kaymer’s dominant performance highlighted his all-around game, including driving accuracy and putting.

US Open Betting Tips: Crucial Statistics for Success at the US Open

POSPLAYERR1R2R3R4SCORETOT
1Wyndham Clark64676970-10270
2Rory McIlroy65676970-9271
3Scottie Scheffler67686870-7273
4Cameron Smith69677167-6274
T5Rickie Fowler62687075-5275
T5Min Woo Lee69657467-5275
T5Tommy Fleetwood73697063-5275
T8Tom Kim73686669-4276
T8Harris English67667172-4276
T10Xander Schauffele62707372-3277
T10Dustin Johnson64707172-3277
T10Austin Eckroat71687365-3277
T10Jon Rahm69737065-3277
2023 US Open Top 10 | Los Angeles Country Club
CategorySGOTTSGAPRSGBSSGARGSGPSGSGSGT2GSGT
Winner1.3570.1061.4630.9841.8132.7972.4474.260
Top 50.9771.0682.0450.5400.8551.3942.5843.439
Top 100.7421.0121.7540.5210.7731.2952.2753.049

Please Note:
SGBS (Strokes Gained Ball Striking) = SGOTT + SGAPR
SGSG (Strokes Gained Short Game) = SGARG + SGP

Analyzing the strokes gained data for the Winner, Top 5, and Top 10 finishers of last year’s US Open at Los Angeles Country Club can provide valuable insights for golf bettors and fantasy golf players. The data highlights the fine margins that distinguish the winner from other top finishers and can help identify key performance indicators (KPIs) for predicting success in a US Open.

Key Performance Indicators

From the above table, two key areas emerge as crucial for success:

  1. Strokes Gained Off The Tee (SGOTT)
  2. Strokes Gained Putting (SGP)

Strokes Gained Off The Tee (SGOTT)

Analysis:

  • Winner: 1.357
  • Top 5: 0.977
  • Top 10: 0.742

SGOTT measures a player’s performance in driving the ball, including both distance and accuracy. For the winner, SGOTT is significantly higher (1.357) compared to the top 5 (0.977) and top 10 (0.742) finishers. This substantial difference underscores the importance of excelling off the tee in securing a victory. Pinehurst No. 2, with its strategic layout and demanding tee shots, places a premium on driving accuracy and distance. The ability to consistently gain strokes off the tee sets up easier approach shots and better positions around the greens, which is crucial for scoring well on this challenging course.

Implications for Bettors and Fantasy Players:

Focusing on players with strong driving skills is essential. Bettors should prioritize golfers who have consistently high SGOTT metrics, as these players are more likely to gain an advantage on Pinehurst No. 2’s demanding fairways. For fantasy golf, selecting players with a proven track record in SGOTT can differentiate a winning lineup from an average one.

Strokes Gained Putting (SGP)

Analysis:

  • Winner: 1.813
  • Top 5: 0.855
  • Top 10: 0.773

SGP evaluates a player’s performance on the greens. The winner’s SGP (1.813) is more than double that of the top 5 (0.855) and top 10 (0.773) finishers. This significant disparity highlights the crucial role of putting in securing a US Open title. Pinehurst No. 2 is known for its challenging, undulating greens. Players who can consistently gain strokes through exceptional putting can navigate these difficult greens more effectively, sinking crucial putts and avoiding costly three-putts.

Implications for Bettors and Fantasy Players:

Identifying players with exceptional putting skills is critical. Bettors should look for golfers who excel in SGP, as these players are more likely to handle the pressure and complexity of Pinehurst No. 2’s greens. In fantasy golf, incorporating players with strong putting statistics can lead to higher overall scores and better tournament performance.

Combined Impact: Strokes Gained Tee to Green (SGT2G)

While SGOTT and SGP are highlighted as key areas, it’s also important to consider Strokes Gained Tee to Green (SGT2G), which combines SGOTT, SGAPR, and SGARG:

  • Winner: 2.447
  • Top 5: 2.584
  • Top 10: 2.275

SGT2G indicates overall performance from tee to green. The data shows that while the winner’s SGT2G (2.447) is slightly lower than the top 5 (2.584), it is still higher than the top 10 (2.275). This suggests that a balanced game from tee to green, supplemented by strong putting, is crucial. However, the greater variance in SGP for the winner indicates putting’s pivotal role.

US Open Championship Winning Formula

The following table shows a breakdown of the Strokes Gained for the last seven champions of the US Open.

YearChampionSGOTTSGAPRSGBSSGARGSGPSGSGSGT2G
2023Wyndham Clark1.3570.1061.4630.9841.8132.7972.448
2022Matt Fitzpatrick0.7171.5872.3041.972-0.1791.7934.276
2021Jon Rahm0.7091.6152.3240.4850.9581.4432.813
2020Bryson DeChambeau1.3361.9023.2381.2451.0892.3344.480
2019Gary Woodland1.3572.0903.4470.2501.7912.0417.144
2018Brooks Koepka0.7142.0042.7180.8812.0252.9063.599
2017Brooks Koepka0.3842.2142.598-0.4841.7781.2942.114
Average0.9391.6452.5850.7621.3252.0873.839

Please Note:
SGBS (Strokes Gained Ball Striking) = SGOTT + SGAPR
SGSG (Strokes Gained Short Game) = SGARG + SGP

Graphing the above Average Strokes Gained gives a visual check on the likely key areas required for success at this week’s US Open.

Betting Tips for the US Open

With the insights provided, here are some strategic betting tips:

Focus on All-Rounders

Given the demands of Pinehurst No. 2, players who excel in multiple facets of the game are more likely to succeed. Bet on golfers with strong approach play and putting statistics.

Consider Form and History

Look at recent performances and past results at similar courses. Players who have shown good form in the lead-up to the US Open and have a history of performing well on tough courses should be prioritized.

Top-10 and Top-20 Bets

If you’re looking for safer bets, consider wagering on players to finish in the Top 10 or Top 20. This allows for some leeway if a player contends but doesn’t win.

Value Picks

Identify players who might be flying under the radar but have the skill set suited to Pinehurst. Look for strong statistical profiles and recent upward trends in performance.

Conclusion

The course will be setup like traditional US Opens which means a stern test of golf awaits. Course management will be key with scoring opportunities hard to come by.

One of the key components for success this week is for players to put themselves into position from the tee. Many fairways are contoured which can result in tricky lies. This will amplify the challenge of finding the right portion of the tricky ‘Donal Ross’ turtleback greens with approach shots.

The US Open at Pinehurst Course No. 2 promises to be a thrilling and challenging event. By understanding the course intricacies and analyzing player statistics and current form, you can make informed bets and fantasy picks.

Precision, a solid short game, and mental toughness are the keys to conquering Pinehurst.

This week is all about being mentally tough, minimizing unforced errors and capitalizing on scoring opportunities when they arise

US Open 2014 | Pinehurst Course No 2

US Open Tips & Predictions 2024

At PGAgolfbets, we don’t just stop at insights; we provide our own golf betting tips to further enhance your chances of success. Compare our tips against your selections to refine your strategy and potentially predict standout performers for the tournament. Our goal is to empower you with the knowledge needed to make informed decisions, turning your passion for golf into a winning betting strategy.

Collin Morikawa golf betting tips

Collin Morikawa 12/1 (E/W) – rolling the dice again this week with the California native. Has good history in the US Open with his last three results in the tournament reading an impressive T14-T5-T4. His current heater continued with a runner up to Scottie in last week’s Memorial Tournament. Prior to that he had a T16 in the Wells Fargo, a T4 in the PGA Championship and a solo 4th in the Charles Schwab. His recent solid form has translated to his stats, placing inside the Top 10 in this week’s Stats Analysis. Arriving hot to a place which should suit his game perfectly makes for a very good mix and puts him firmly in the ‘hard-to-ignore‘ category. Event Form tick, Current Form tick, Stats Analysis tick. What’s not to like?

Tony Finau golf betting tips

Tony Finau 50/1 (E/W) – has mixed form in the US Open with his best result in the recent past a T8 at Winged Foot in 2020. His game at the moment is trending nicely with a T18 in the PGA Championship followed by a T17 in the Charles Schwab Challenge and a T8 in last week’s Memorial Tournament. His stats so far this season are ‘okay‘ at best, but his showing around Muirfield Village is reason for positivity. He finished last week 15th in SGAPR, 21st in SGP and T2 for Birdies. The Utah native has ‘got-game‘ and it would be no surprise to see him hanging around the top of the leaderboard. All things considered, excellent value at juicy each way odds.

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