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2021 US Open tips

Golf betting tips: Preview and tips for the 2021 US Open Championship

The US Open is organised by the United States Golf Association (USGA). Traditionally it is played in mid-June and scheduled so that the final round is played on the third Sunday, which is Father’s Day.

The US Open is an official tournament of both the PGA and European Tours. From a course difficulty perspective, the US Open Championship is traditionally the hardest of the four Majors to win.

The tournament is staged at a variety of courses and set up in such a way that scoring is difficult. US Open courses are typically characterised by low scoring, are long, have a high cut of primary rough, undulating greens and tight fairways.

This year the 121st US Open is returning to San Diego, California to the South Course at Torrey Pines.

Course Overview

The South Course at Torrey Pines was designed by Billy Bell Jr. and opened for play in 1957. The layout was extensively revamped in 2001 by the ‘Open Doctor‘ Rees Jones.

In 2019, Rees Jones returned to tweak the South Course in preparation for this year’s US Open. The renovations included;

  • Replacing the course’s irrigation system, changing pipework and installing more than 2,000 computer-operated sprinkler heads
  • Fairway bunkers added throughout the course
  • Some fairways narrowed to intimidate long hitters
  • Some holes were lengthened increasing the overall course length to 7,765 yards
  • Tightly mowed collection areas near greens were added or expanded

Torrey Pines plays host to the Farmers Insurance Open which forms part of the early season West Coast Swing. The South Course is the longest course played in a regular PGA Tour event.

The South Course will play as a 7,643 yard Par 71 for this week’s US Open.

The course will be setup like traditional US Opens which means a stern test of golf awaits. Course management will be key with scoring opportunities hard to come by.

The big differences this week from the Farmers Insurance Open is that the rough will be much juicier and the course firmer. It will be important to keep the ball on the short stuff from the tee. This will put pressure on the driver to get in position. On some holes the fairway narrows the further you drive the ball.

The South Course is all about course management and at nearly 7,700 yards, players will need to be dialed in with their long irons. Distance control will be critical due to the shape of many of the greens.

Greens this week will be challenging to say the least. The undulating tiered greens are treacherous. Putting will be extremely challenging particularly if players fail to hit the proper target on the green. Accuracy on approach is critical with a premium on putting from below the hole.

2008 US Open Championship at Torrey Pines South Course

In 2008, the course played host to one of the most memorable US Opens. Tiger Woods, who was nursing a leg injury, beat Rocco Mediate in a Monday playoff. Both players could not be separated after the 18 hole playoff, tied at even Par 71.

They went to sudden-death on the 91st hole, Tiger winning with a par and his 14th Major title. The following players finished inside the Top 10 in the 2008 US Open;

PosPlayerR1R2R3R4To parScore
1Tiger Woods72687073-1283
2Rocco Mediate69717271-1283
3Lee Westwood70717073E284
T4Robert Karlsson707075712286
T4D.J. Trahan726973722286
T6Miguel Angel Jimenez756674723287
T6John Merrick737271713287
T6Carl Pettersson717177683287
T9Eric Axley697971694288
T9Geoff Ogilvy697372744288
T9Heath Slocum757474654288
T9Brandt Snedeker767368714288
T9Camilo Villegas737171734288

2020 US Open Championship | Bryson DeChambeau

Venue Winged Foot Golf Club

Winning Score -6 (274)

Bryson DeChambeau
SG Category
Strokes GainedFinishing Position
(SG Category)
SGOTT5.3312
SGAPR7.6082
SGARG4.9785
SGP4.35625
SGT2G17.9181

Over 80% of DeChambeau’s strokes gained came tee-to-green which equated to a gain of nearly 18 strokes on the field average. He won by 6 strokes from Matthew Wolff and was the only player to finish under par for the week. He was also the only player to break par in the final round in what was a power-house performance. He finished in the Top 5 in each of the strokes gained categories of off-the-tee, approach and around-the-green. Other stats for the week include T55 for Driving Accuracy, 19th for Driving Distance, T8 in GIR and 28th in Putts per GIR.

2019 US Open Championship | Gary Woodland

Venue Pebble Beach Golf Links

Winning Score -13 (271)

Gary Woodland
SG Category
Strokes GainedFinishing Position
(SG Category)
SGOTT1.35722
SGAPR8.3583
SGARG0.99941
SGP7.1634
SGT2G10.7156

The key to Woodlands victory was in his approach play and putting. He finished 3rd in the Strokes Gained Approach-The-Green category which resulted in a gain of 8.358 strokes. His excellent approach play carried over to his play on the green finishing 4th in Strokes Gained Putting. The putter delivered just over 40% of his overall strokes gained. He finished T9 for Birdies racking up a total of 17 for the tournament. Other stats for the week include T44 for Driving Accuracy, 10th for Driving Distance and 46th for Strokes Gained Putting.

2018 US Open Championship | Brooks Koepka

Venue Shinnecock Hills

Winning Score +1 (281)

Brooks Koepka
SG Category
Strokes GainedFinishing Position
(SG Category)
SGOTT1.53621
SGAPR8.8771
SGARG-1.93761
SGP8.1023
SGT2G8.47611

In successfully defending his US Open title, Koepka delivered a ball-striking master-class around Shinnecock Hills. He topped the pile in Strokes Gained Approach-The-Green which delivered over 50% of his overall strokes gained. This translated to a gain of 8.877 strokes. His putter was also on fire finishing 3rd in Strokes Gained Putting. He finished 4th for Birdies racking up a total of 14 for the week. Other stats for the tournament include T55 for Driving Accuracy, 2nd for Driving Distance, 4th for GIR and 5th in Putts per GIR.

2017 US Open Championship | Brooks Koepka

Venue Erin Hills

Winning Score -16 (272)

Brooks Koepka
SG Category
Strokes GainedFinishing Position
(SG Category)
SGOTT5.3793
SGAPR8.4661
SGARG-0.40445
SGP7.1103
SGT2G13.4423

Koepka’s all-round game was outstanding for the week. He finished inside the Top 3 for four of the five strokes gained categories for the tournament. In particular his approach play was on point finishing top of the pile for Strokes Gained Approach-The-Green. This yielded a gain of 8.466 strokes or just over 40% of his overall strokes gained. He finished T2 for Birdies racking up a total of 20. Other stats for the week include T4 for Driving Accuracy, 7th for Driving Distance, 1st for GIR and 20th in Putts per GIR.

US Open Championship Winning Formula

The following table shows a breakdown of the Average Strokes Gained for the past four champions of the US Open.

Past 4 Winners
SG Category
Winner’s Average
Strokes Gained
Average Finishing
Position (SG Category)
SGOTT3.40112
SGAPR8.3272
SGARG0.90938
SGP6.6839
SGT2G12.6385

Graphing the above Average Strokes Gained gives a visual check on the likely key areas required for success at this week’s US Open.

US Open Tips 2021

Viktor Hovland golf betting tipsViktor Hovland 22/1 (E/W) – this is his third US Open appearance having finished T12 in 2019 at Pebble Beach and T13 last year at Winged Foot. The Norwegian professional has been a revelation this season. He has 5 x Top 3 finishes which includes a victory at the Mayakoba Golf Classic. It is also noteworthy that one of his place finishes was in the Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines. A zero red flag game puts the 23 year old 8th in this week’s Stats Analysis, he is also 6th on Tour for Scoring Average. An exceptional talent, it is almost mandatory that he gets a look every time he tees it up. Ticks a lot of boxes for this week’s ‘Major‘ challenge. Very hard to ignore.

Patrick Cantlay golf betting tipsPatrick Cantlay 25/1 (E/W) – this is his fourth appearance at a US Open with his best result to date a T21 at Pebble Beach. Followed up a T23 at the recent PGA Championship at Kiawah Island with a victory in the Memorial Tournament. The tee-to-green maestro places top of the pile in this week’s Stats Analysis, no mean feat considering the field strength. The California native looks to have found his mojo again underlined by regular appearances on leaderboards. With game and confidence on the upward trajectory he could be one to watch.

Jason Kokrak golf betting tipsJason Kokrak 66/1 (E/W) – finished T17 in last year’s US Open played at Winged Foot. A regular at the Farmers Insurance Open, he will be well familiar with this week’s sightlines. A multiple winner on Tour this season, capturing the CJ Cup @ Shadow Creek and the Charles Schwab Challenge in his last outing. Weak Scrambling stats means the 36 year old places just outside the Top 30 in this week’s Stats Analysis. However this is favorably balanced by being 5th on Tour for Strokes Gained Putting and 17th for Birdie Average. All things considered, he is worth an each way punt.

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