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RBC Canadian Open Betting Tips: Expert Insights and Strategies for Success

RBC Canadian Open betting tips

Welcome to the ultimate guide for the RBC Canadian Open, one of the most prestigious tournaments on the PGA Tour calendar. As we delve into this year’s event, hosted at the historic Hamilton Golf & Country Club, we aim to equip you with the insights necessary to make informed golf bets or fantasy golf picks. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or a casual fan looking to join the excitement, our analysis will provide a comprehensive understanding of the tournament, valuable betting tips, and a detailed description of the host course.

Tournament Overview: RBC Canadian Open

The RBC Canadian Open is a cornerstone event on the PGA Tour, boasting a rich history that dates back to 1904. This tournament is not only a celebration of Canadian golf but also a significant competitive stage for the world’s top golfers.

The RBC Canadian Open is the third oldest continuously running tournament on the PGA Tour after the British Open Championship and US Open.

As part of the PGA Tour, the RBC Canadian Open is known for its challenging course setups and diverse field of players. This year, the tournament returns to the Hamilton Golf & Country Club, a venue renowned for its classic design and demanding layout. Players will need to showcase a blend of precision, strategy, and composure to succeed.

Host Course: Hamilton Golf & Country Club

Hamilton Golf & Country Club, located in Ancaster, Ontario, is a gem in the world of golf. Established in 1894 and redesigned by the legendary Harry S. Colt in 1914, the course is steeped in history and tradition. It features a Par-70 layout that stretches over 7,000 yards, presenting a mix of challenging holes that require a strategic approach.

Key Features of Hamilton Golf & Country Club

  • Classic Design: The course maintains the integrity of Colt’s original design, emphasizing strategic shot placement and precision. Its undulating fairways, small contoured greens, and well-placed bunkers demand accuracy and skill.
  • Scenic Beauty: Set amidst rolling hills and mature trees, the course offers stunning vistas and a serene playing environment. The natural landscape adds to the course’s difficulty, with elevation changes and varying lies challenging the best golfers.
  • Historic Venue: Hamilton has hosted multiple Canadian Opens, solidifying its reputation as a premier tournament venue. Its blend of beauty and challenge makes it a favorite among players and fans alike.

Hamilton Golf & Country Club is a standout venue, blending historical prestige with natural beauty and a challenging layout that tests even the most skilled golfers.

Hamilton Golf & Country Club Scorecard

HoleParYardsHoleParYards
14411104386
24457114502
34401124380
45542133209
54346144474
63249154420
74447163180
83207175580
94436184457
Out353496In353588
Par70
Total7084
Par#ShortestLongestAverage
3‘s4180249211
4‘s12346502426
5‘s2542580561
  • Average Green Size: 6,000 sq.ft.
  • Number of Sand Bunkers: 72
  • Water Hazards: Serpentine Creek

RBC Canadian Open | Past Champions (since 2010)

YearChampionCourseScoreTo par
2023Nick TaylorOakdale Golf and Country Club271-17
2022Rory McIlroySt. George’s Golf and Country Club261-19
2021Cancelled due to COVID pandemic
2020Cancelled due to COVID pandemic
2019Rory McIlroyHamilton Golf and Country Club258-22
2018Dustin JohnsonGlen Abbey Golf Course265-23
2017Jhonattan VegasGlen Abbey Golf Course267-21
2016Jhonattan VegasGlen Abbey Golf Course276-12
2015Jason DayGlen Abbey Golf Course271-17
2014Tim ClarkRoyal Montreal Golf Club263-17
2013Brandt SnedekerGlen Abbey Golf Course272-16
2012Scott PiercyHamilton Golf and Country Club263-17
2011Sean O’HairShaughnessy Golf & Country Club276-4
2010Carl PetterssonSt. George’s Golf and Country Club266−14

2019 RBC Canadian Open | Top 10

POSPLAYERR1R2R3R4SCORETOT
1Rory McIlroy67666461-22258
T2Shane Lowry64686667-15265
T2Webb Simpson66646768-15265
T4Brandt Snedeker69606969-13267
T4Matt Kuchar65636970-13267
6Adam Hadwin65666770-12268
7Sung-jae Im64687364-11269
T8Danny Willett66686967-10270
T8Graeme McDowell65677068-10270
T8Henrik Stenson66666870-10270

Analyzing Strokes Gained Data from the Top 10 in the 2019 RBC Canadian Open

CategorySGOTTSGAPRSGBSSGARGSGPSGSGSGT2GSGT
Winner1.7281.2252.9530.8621.4572.3193.8155.272
Top 50.5180.6501.1680.6011.9032.5041.7693.672
Top 100.4360.7451.1810.4581.4081.8661.6393.047

Please Note:
SGBS (Strokes Gained Ball Striking) = SGOTT + SGAPR
SGSG (Strokes Gained Short Game) = SGARG + SGP

An analysis of the strokes gained data from the last RBC Canadian Open at Hamilton Golf & Country Club reveals critical insights for bettors and fantasy golf players. The data showcases the average strokes gained in various categories for the Winner, Top 5, and Top 10 finishers. Understanding the nuances of these statistics is key to making informed bets or fantasy picks. Here, we will focus on the two key performance indicators: Strokes Gained Ball Striking (SGBS) and Strokes Gained Putting (SGP), and their impact on success at this venue.

SGBS is the sum of Strokes Gained Off The Tee (SGOTT) and Strokes Gained Approach The Green (SGAPR). This metric is crucial as it highlights a player’s ability to execute shots from the tee and approach the green effectively. The data shows a stark difference between the Winner, Top 5, and Top 10 finishers in SGBS:

  • Winner: 2.953
  • Top 5: 1.168
  • Top 10: 1.181

The winner’s SGBS is substantially higher, indicating that exceptional ball striking is a significant differentiator. The winner gained nearly 3 strokes in this category, more than double the top 5 and top 10 averages. This suggests that players who excel in hitting accurate and long drives, as well as precise approach shots, are more likely to perform well at Hamilton.

For golf bettors and fantasy players, prioritizing individuals with strong SGOTT and SGAPR statistics can be a wise strategy. Players who consistently rank high in these areas are more likely to navigate Hamilton’s challenging layout effectively, setting up better scoring opportunities. Recent form in these categories should be a primary consideration when selecting players.

SGP is another critical metric that often determines the fine margins between winning and losing. Here’s how SGP compares among the Winner, Top 5, and Top 10 finishers:

  • Winner: 1.457
  • Top 5: 1.903
  • Top 10: 1.408

Interestingly, while the Top 5 average in SGP is higher than the Winner’s, the Winner still performed well in this category. This indicates that while putting is essential, the absolute highest SGP doesn’t necessarily equate to winning. Instead, a balanced but strong performance in putting, combined with superior ball striking, is more indicative of a winner.

Bettors should look for players who have a consistent putting performance. Players with solid SGP stats, while also excelling in ball striking, are prime candidates for success. It’s also useful to look at players who have shown the ability to putt well on similar greens or in similar conditions, as putting can be highly course-specific.

Rory McIlroy’s SG Data from the 2019 RBC Canadian Open

The following table details the Strokes Gained in each of the key strokes gained categories for Rory McIlroy in the RBC Canadian Open played at Hamilton Golf & Country Club in 2019.

Rory McIlroy
Strokes Gained Category
Strokes GainedFinishing
Position SG Category
SGOTT1.7281st
SGAPR1.2255th
SGARG0.8626th
SGP1.4576th
SGT2G3.8151st

Graphing the above Strokes Gained gives a visual check on the likely key areas required for success at this week’s RBC Canadian Open played at Hamilton Golf & Country Club.

RBC Canadian Open Betting Tips

When it comes to betting on the RBC Canadian Open, understanding the course setup and identifying the key performance indicators (KPIs) that have historically influenced success at Hamilton Golf & Country Club is crucial. Based on past data and course characteristics, here are our top betting tips:

Hamilton’s layout places a premium on ball striking, particularly Strokes Gained Ball Striking (SGBS), which combines Strokes Gained Off The Tee (SGOTT) and Strokes Gained Approach The Green (SGAPR). The 2019 RBC Canadian Open winner at Hamilton showcased exceptional ball striking, gaining nearly 3 strokes in this category. Players who excel in driving accuracy and approach shots are likely to perform well. Look for golfers with high rankings in SGOTT and SGAPR as they are better equipped to navigate Hamilton’s strategic demands.

Strokes Gained Putting (SGP) is another critical metric at Hamilton. While the Winner’s SGP in 2019 was solid, the Top 5 finishers demonstrated even stronger putting performances. This indicates that while exceptional ball striking is vital, a consistent putting game can significantly boost a player’s chances. Focus on players who have shown recent form on the bentgrass greens, particularly those who excel on similar putting surfaces. Tournaments played on bentgrass greens so far this season include the Masters, Byron Nelson, PGA Championship and Charles Schwab Challenge.

Course familiarity can be a significant advantage. Players with previous experience at Hamilton Golf & Country Club, especially those with strong finishes in past RBC Canadian Opens there, should be on your radar. Additionally, current form is a key indicator of potential success. Players coming into the tournament with recent high finishes and strong stats across key metrics are more likely to carry their momentum into the RBC Canadian Open.

Conclusion

By focusing on key performance indicators such as ball striking and putting, and considering players’ course experience and current form, you can make more informed bets and fantasy picks.

The historical data from the the 2019 edition of the tournament played at Hamilton underscores the importance of strong ball striking, with McIlroy showing significantly higher SGBS compared to other top finishers.

Equally important is consistent putting. While the highest SGP alone isn’t the sole predictor of victory, a well-rounded game that includes strong putting can make a significant difference. Players who demonstrate the ability to gain strokes in both ball striking and putting are more likely to succeed.

RBC Canadian Open Tips & Predictions 2024

At PGAgolfbets, we don’t just stop at insights; we provide our own golf betting tips to further enhance your chances of success. Compare our tips against your selections to refine your strategy and potentially predict standout performers for the tournament. Our goal is to empower you with the knowledge needed to make informed decisions, turning your passion for golf into a winning betting strategy.

Shane Lowry golf betting tips

Shane Lowry 20/1 (E/W) – a regular at the RBC Canadian Open, he finished runner-up to McIlroy when the tournament was last played at Hamilton back in 2019. Acquitted himself well in the recent PGA Championship at Valhalla where he finished an eye-catching T6. An imperious game tee-to-green puts the Irishman 2nd in this week’s Stats Analysis. The 36-year-old Irishman also tops the pile on Tour for Driving Accuracy, a key attribute required to unpick the challenges of this week’s layout. If he gets his eye in with the flat stick then he will be a force to be reckoned with. Good each way value at top end of market.

Sam Burns golf betting tips

Sam Burns 25/1 (E/W) – this is his third time teeing it up in the RBC Canadian Open, with his best result a T4 in 2022 when played at St George’s. His overall form this season is what puts him firmly in this week’s crosshairs. He has 5 x Top 15 finishes from twelve starts including a T13 a few weeks back in the Wells Fargo Championship (Signature Event). No surprise that his solid form translates to his stats, placing 4th in this week’s Stats Analysis. He is also currently 18th on Tour for Three Putt Avoidance and 3rd for Birdie Average. The 27-year-old looks dangerous just off radar. Good each way value at top end of market.

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