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PGA Championship Winning Formula

TPC Harding Park’s fairways have been considerably reduced for the 102th PGA Championship. The rough will be challenging so this week it will be important to keep the ball on the short stuff. This will put pressure on play from the tee and those who drive the ball long and well from the tee should prosper.

Course management looks to be key this week and scoring opportunities will be hard to come by. Taking advantage of the two Par 5’s will be important. Greens are tiered so putting will be extremely challenging particularly if players fail to hit the proper target on the green.

2017 | Justin Thomas

Venue Quail Hollow

Winning Score -8 (276)

Justin Thomas
SG Category
Strokes GainedFinishing Position
(SG Category)
SGOTT2.80123
SGAPR4.03615
SGARG2.30022
SGP7.2284
SGT2G9.13811

JT’s game tee-to-green was solid all week finishing just outside the Top 10 for the Strokes Gained Tee-To-Green category. In particular his approach play was strong delivering almost a quarter of his overall strokes gained for the week. However, it was a hot putter that sealed the deal for Thomas. He finished 4th in the Strokes Gained Putting stat which equated to almost half his overall gain. He finished 1st for Birdies racking up a total of 20. Other stats for the week include T62 for Driving Accuracy, 1st for Driving Distance, T17 for GIR and 2nd in Putts per GIR.

2018 | Brooks Koepka

Venue Bellerive CC

Winning Score -16 (264)

Brooks Koepka
SG Category
Strokes GainedFinishing Position
(SG Category)
SGOTT5.8792
SGAPR5.8899
SGARG-0.01944
SGP4.06118
SGT2G11.7492

Koepka delivered a ball-striking master-class around Bellerive CC gaining almost 12 strokes on the field average in the Strokes Gained Tee-To-Green category. This accounted for almost 75% of his shots gained for the tournament. Koepka drained his fair share of putts also finishing 18th in the Strokes Gained Putting. He finished 3rd for Birdies racking up a total of 22 for the week. Other stats for the tournament include T14 for Driving Accuracy, 2nd for Driving Distance, T15 for GIR and 3rd in Putts per GIR.

2019 | Brooks Koepka

Venue Bethpage Black

Winning Score -8 (272)

Brooks Koepka
SG Category
Strokes GainedFinishing Position
(SG Category)
SGOTT6.6942
SGAPR9.5331
SGARG1.12831
SGP1.14846
SGT2G17.3541

Like the previous year, it was a ball-striking master-class from the tee and on approach that laid the foundation for Koepka’s back-to-back PGA Championship wins. He finishing 1st in the Strokes Gained Tee-To-Green stats gaining a staggering 17.354 strokes on the field average for the week. A liitle over half his overall strokes gained on the field came from his approach play, topping the pile in GIR. He finished 1st for Birdies racking up a total of 19 for the week.Other stats for the week include T44 for Driving Accuracy, 10th for Driving Distance and 46th for Strokes Gained Putting.

PGA Championship Winning Formula

Taking the average strokes gained for the past three winners in each of the strokes gained categories yields the following “winning formula”.

SG CategoryWinner’s Average
Strokes Gained
Average Finishing
Position (SG Category)
SGOTT5.1259
SGAPR6.4868
SGARG1.13632
SGP4.14623
SGT2G12.7475

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