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Golf betting tips: Preview and tips for the 2022 3M Open

3M Open picks

The event is hosted by TPC Twin Cities and is Minnesota’s first regular PGA Tour event for almost fifty years. The 2019 edition of the tournament marked the first staging of the 3M Open.

TPC Twin Cities is located in Minneapolis and opened for play in 2000. The layout was designed by Arnold Palmer with Minnesota native, Tom Lehman, acting as player consultant.

Course Overview

The course is a member of the Tournament Players Club (TPC) network which is operated by the PGA Tour. From 2001, TPC Twin Cities hosted the 3M Championship on the PGA Champions Tour. However, in 2018, it was announced that the Champions Tour event would be replaced by the 3M Open on the PGA Tour in a seven year deal.

The setup for the Champions Tour event annually produced low scoring. Its wide fairways, low rough, accessible pin placements and manageable bunkers all contributed to the 3M Championship birdie-fest.

In an effort to challenge the world’s best golfers, Tom Lehman was retained to oversee a remodeling of the course for the 3M Open.

The upgraded TPC Twin Cities plays as a 7,431 yards Par 71 for the 3M Open. The general layout for the course hasn’t change but hole number 3, which is normally a Par 5, plays as a Par 4 for the tournament. Length was added on a number of holes through the construction of several new tee boxes. In all almost 500 yards in length was added to the course.

“I’d make it a tough driving course, the easiest way to do that is to firm it up, narrow it up and grow some rough”

Tom Lehman

As part of the the remodeling, fairways were narrowed and rough higher putting more pressure on the driver. Course management is important in order to put the ball in the right position to attack the pins. In addition some of the bunkering was expanded.

2021 3M Open | Cameron Champ

Winning Score -15 (269)

Chart by Visualizer
Cameron Champ
Strokes Gained Category
Strokes GainedFinishing Position
(SG Category)
SGOTT0.78639
SGAPR3.70719
SGARG-0.35248
SGP8.4801
SGT2G4.14027

2020 3M Open | Michael Thompson

Winning Score -19 (265)

Last year, Michael Thompson birdied his final hole for a two shot victory over Adam Long. Nine players finished in a tie for third. It was the 35 year old’s second PGA Tour victory to add to his 2013 Honda Classic title.

“This win validates the first win, it solidifies my presence on the PGA Tour and proves to my peers that I’m a threat every week and that’s what I want to be.”

Michael Thompson
Chart by Visualizer
Michael Thompson
Strokes Gained Category
Strokes GainedFinishing Position
(SG Category)
SGOTT-0.44988
SGAPR7.4274
SGARG-1.038T104
SGP7.2756
SGT2G5.94024

Thompson’s iron-play on approach set the foundation for his victory. He finished 4th in Strokes Gained Approach-The-Green which translated to a gain of 7.427 strokes on the field average. His putter was hot also. He finished the week 6th in Strokes Gained Putting which contributed a gain of 7.275 strokes. Other stats for the week include T33 for Driving Accuracy, 97th for Driving Distance, T4 for GIR and T33 Putts per GIR.

2019 3M Open | Matthew Wolff

Winning Score -21 (263)

A 20 year old Matthew Wolff captured the inaugural 3M Open title in only his third start on Tour. He won in dramatic style making a lengthy eagle putt from the fringe on the final hole to edge out Collin Morikawa and Bryson DeChambeau by one stroke.

“I’m really not an emotional guy, but tears came to my eyes”

Matthew Wolff
Chart by Visualizer
Matthew Wolff
Strokes Gained Category
Strokes GainedFinishing Position
(SG Category)
SGOTT2.20421
SGAPR9.4502
SGARG1.66218
SGP0.67539
SGT2G13.3151

Wolff excelled tee-to-green finishing 1st in the Strokes Gained Tee-To-Green category. This translated to a gain of 13.315 strokes on the field average or just over 95% of his overall gain for the week. In particular his approach play was dialled-in. His Strokes Gained Approach-The-Green resulted in a gain of 9.450 strokes or two third of his overall gain. Other stats for the week include T31 for Driving Accuracy, 36th for Driving Distance, T6 for GIR and 6th in Putts per GIR.

3M Open Winning Formula

The following table details the Average Strokes Gained in each of the key strokes gained categories for the past three champions of the 3M Open.

Last 3 Champions
Strokes Gained Category
Average Strokes GainedAverage Finishing
Position SG Category
SGOTT0.84749th
SGAPR6.8618th
SGARG0.09157th
SGP5.44715th
SGT2G7.79817th

Graphing the above Average Strokes Gained gives a visual check on the likely key areas required for success at this week’s 3M Open.

Chart by Visualizer

Again this week, expect players in the mix to have a healthy percentage of greens in regulation with first class putting.

3M Classic Picks

Adam Hadwin golf betting tips

Adam Hadwin 20/1 (E/W) – has teed it up twice at TPC Twin Cities, finishing inside the Top 6 on both occasions. He also has five Top 10’s among eight Top 25 finishes this season including a T7 in the recent US Open. Statistically balanced, the 34-year-old features 4th in this week’s Stats Analysis. The seasoned-pro is returning to a course where he has previous strong showings which is a big plus especially off the back of some solid form. This coupled with skill-set and field strength makes the Canadian hard to ignore. Good value.

Nick Hardy golf betting tips

Nick Hardy 33/1 (E/W) – first look at TPC Twin Cities for the 26-year-old, not a big concern considering it is a fairly straight-forward layout. His game is in a good place with recent results reading T35 in the RBC Canadian Open, T14 in the US Open, T8 in Travelers Championship and a T30 in the John Deere Classic. He also finished T13 in last week’s modified stableford event, the Barracuda Championship. This solid play is reflected in his stats, placing just inside the Top 30 in this week’s Stats Analysis. With game and confidence in a good place he certainly has the potential to make some noise this week. Good each way value.

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